Carnell Knowledge 2012 : NFL Week 1

NFL season means, the return of “Carnell Knowledge”.  My weekly NFL picks blog.  Is there a pun in that title?

Things slowed down this summer on the blog. Getting into doing a weekly one will hopefully get the ball rolling again.

Disclaimer, during the season I’ll try to get them up by the weekend. Which usually would be fine, except this season is the first where Thursday Night Football is on every week. So if I don’t get the full blog up by Thursday I’ll tweet that pick and then put that in the blog. And this week because of President Obama’s speech at the Democratic National Convention the season kicks off on Wednesday night. 4 years ago the season kicked off the same night as John McCain was getting the Republican Nomination. Then the NFL tweaked their start time to avoid too much of a conflict. Came to their senses this time and decided to just put the game on Wednesday. Might as well put it on a night by yourself.

For new readers, In BOLD I put the team I think will win.  I don’t put up point spreads or that stuff.  Winners and losers. No hedging my bets.

Tonight, Cowboys at Giants

New York gets on a roll near the end of the season, while Dallas will look good in September/October. Happens quite often.

Sunday games
Falcons at Chiefs

Keep hearing a lot of pundits liking Kansas City this year. I’ll wait to see how they are. Atlanta made the playoffs last year, then got crushed. Which is their M.O. with Matt Ryan. Last 2 playoff games they lost 24-2 and 48-21. Until I see the Chiefs play well I will go with Atlanta.

Eagles at Browns

By default since they are playing Cleveland.  They are that bad.

Redskins at Saints

My team the Redskins finally have a QB. 2013 should be fun to watch, problem when it is 2012. However Washington beat the Super Bowl Champion Giants twice last season. Twice? Yep. No idea how that happened.

Rams at Lions

That Detroit defense last year was horrid, yet they still made the playoffs. Don’t see them sneaking in this year unless that gets better.  Enough to beat the Rams who had the Number 2 pick in last year’s draft, which they traded to the Redskins.

Patriots at Titans

Jake Locker named the starting QB for the Titans. Might as well go with the young guy, but that should be easy picking for the Pats.

Dolphins at Texans

Last year Houston lost their starting QB and their backup QB before the post-season. And they still won a playoff game and had a shot of beating Baltimore. Miami has a long road back to being average.

Bills at Jets

Buffalo a team in NY state that hasn’t had a stupid amount of coverage like a certain one that wears green.  Bills could hammer the over-hyped Jets.

Jaguars at Vikings

Battle of possible LA franchises, I’m kidding. Minnesota should stay. Jacksonville will be gone from that area of the country eventually.

Colts at Bears

Indy starting from scratch so a long season for them.

The late games on Sundays are 10 minutes later too, kickoff for them are now 4:25pm EST. If you’ve watched enough football you know sometimes a network be showing the end of an out of town finish and have to leave “due to NFL rules”. That is why they have pushed up the time.

Panthers at Bucs

Tampa Bay quit on their coach last season. No other way to say it. Many NFL commentators mentioned that. Better coaching this season for a team that was good 2 seasons ago.  Carolina also one of the overrated teams.

Seahawks at Cardinals

Seattle’s starting QB is a guy they picked up in the 3rd round, Russell Wilson. They signed a free agent quarterback who is now a highly paid guy on the bench. Good for grabbing Wilson, and bad they wasted money they could have spent on someone else.  Cardinals quarterback situation has become a gong show.

49ers at Packers

Could be game of the week. I’ll go with GB since Rodgers is much better than Smith.

Sunday night, Steelers at Broncos

Pittsburgh back to Denver where they lost in the playoffs. Mainly because their defensive playcallers got cocky against Tebow. He’s not a great QB, however you can’t play “Cover 0” against someone. That’s just asking for trouble. From Wikipedia.

“The main disadvantage of Cover 0 is that there is no ‘help over the top’ – if a wide receiver ‘beats’ (runs past) his defender, there is no one left in the secondary who can make up the coverage on the receiver, which could result in an easy pass completion and possible touchdown.”

What happened in Overtime? Denver completed a pass in the middle and the guy ran all the way for a TD. Now Tebow is in NY and Peyton Manning is in Denver.  Steelers won’t be as dumb as the playoff game.

Monday night Doubleheader, Bengals at Ravens


Both playoff teams, I almost forgot the Bengals were in the post-season. Baltimore could’ve been in the Super Bowl if not for the kicker missing a field goal. By the way, the Ravens cut that kicker in the pre-season. Kept him around that long, then get rid of him. Weird.

Chargers at Raiders

Late night game on Monday night. Both teams I feel “bleh” about. I’ll take Oakland because they are at home.


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